NBA scoring is modeled with a Normal distribution calibrated to league averages (~110 points per team per game). Elo ratings track team strength across the season. The model outputs win probability, expected total score, and spread estimate for each matchup.
Clear win/draw/loss percentages for every match, updated in real time.
Most likely final scores based on team attack and defense parameters.
Download a full prediction spreadsheet with scoreline matrix and methodology.
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