NFL scoring follows a Normal distribution calibrated to league averages (~24 points per team per game). Elo ratings capture team strength and recent form. The model outputs win probability, expected total points, and a point spread estimate for every matchup.
Clear win/draw/loss percentages for every match, updated in real time.
Most likely final scores based on team attack and defense parameters.
Download a full prediction spreadsheet with scoreline matrix and methodology.
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